Oscar Watch: What the Globes say
Knowing who won the Golden Globes won't have any practical effect on the Academy Awards nominations due a week from today - since all nominating ballots had to be mailed back before last night's Globes ceremony.
But the Globes may give a few indicators about whose Oscar fortunes are rising and whose are falling.
Rising: "Babel." Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu's movie had the most nominations (7), but had been skunked all night before winning the top prize, Best Motion Picture - Drama. It now makes what had been an expected coronation, for "Dreamgirls," into a tight horse race with three contenders: "Dreamgirls," "Babel" and "The Departed."
Falling: "Little Miss Sunshine." Two nominations, no wins. The ultimate in "it's great just to be nominated" post-award spin.
Holding: "Dreamgirls." Three wins, the most of any movie. But that's to be expected of the front-runner.
Rising: Martin Scorsese. Will this finally be the year Marty scores an Oscar? Maybe, but remember that Scorsese got a Globe for "Gangs of New York," and lost the Oscar that year to Roman Polanski for "The Pianist."
Rising: Sacha Baron Cohen. Getting the Best Actor - Musical/Comedy Globe for "Borat" may not translate into an Oscar nomination, but his hilarious acceptance speech (the one that began, "I saw some amazing, beautiful, invigourating parts of America but I saw some dark parts of America, an ugly side of America, a side of America that rarely sees the light of day. I refer, of course, to the anus and testicles of my co-star Ken Davitian. ...") shows he would be the highlight of any Oscar telecast.
Holding: Helen Mirren. The coronation continues for the star of "The Queen."
Holding: Forest Whitaker. Still the favorite for Best Actor, and this just confirms that - though if Leonardo DiCaprio wasn't splitting his own vote (he was nominated for both "The Departed" and "Blood Diamond"), the results may have been different.
But the Globes may give a few indicators about whose Oscar fortunes are rising and whose are falling.
Rising: "Babel." Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu's movie had the most nominations (7), but had been skunked all night before winning the top prize, Best Motion Picture - Drama. It now makes what had been an expected coronation, for "Dreamgirls," into a tight horse race with three contenders: "Dreamgirls," "Babel" and "The Departed."
Falling: "Little Miss Sunshine." Two nominations, no wins. The ultimate in "it's great just to be nominated" post-award spin.
Holding: "Dreamgirls." Three wins, the most of any movie. But that's to be expected of the front-runner.
Rising: Martin Scorsese. Will this finally be the year Marty scores an Oscar? Maybe, but remember that Scorsese got a Globe for "Gangs of New York," and lost the Oscar that year to Roman Polanski for "The Pianist."
Rising: Sacha Baron Cohen. Getting the Best Actor - Musical/Comedy Globe for "Borat" may not translate into an Oscar nomination, but his hilarious acceptance speech (the one that began, "I saw some amazing, beautiful, invigourating parts of America but I saw some dark parts of America, an ugly side of America, a side of America that rarely sees the light of day. I refer, of course, to the anus and testicles of my co-star Ken Davitian. ...") shows he would be the highlight of any Oscar telecast.
Holding: Helen Mirren. The coronation continues for the star of "The Queen."
Holding: Forest Whitaker. Still the favorite for Best Actor, and this just confirms that - though if Leonardo DiCaprio wasn't splitting his own vote (he was nominated for both "The Departed" and "Blood Diamond"), the results may have been different.



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