Could Humpty Dumpty Have a Great Fall?
Nobody can remember a time when a sitting speaker of the Utah House of Representatives lost a re-election bid in the House, but telephone surveys done by both sides in Speaker Greg Curtis' district in Sandy indicate the Republican might be trailing.
Curtis' Democratic opponent, Jay Seegmiller, reportedly was 12 points up on Curtis when Democratic supporters conducted a telephone survey recently. Curtis' camp decided to conduct a telephone poll of district residents who voted two years ago and were listed as unaffiliated, in other words not registered as a member of any political party.
Curtis' poll of about 200 unaffiliated voters showed him down, among that group, by about eight points.
But one Curtis supporter said the results are not too alarming because Curtis should make up the difference among Republican voters, who vastly outnumber Democrats in the area.
Seegmiller ran against Curtis two years ago and the Curtis supporter says the numbers were similar among unaffiliated voters just before the 2004 election. But Curtis won the race, 52-46 percent, with other party candidates picking up the rest.
Still, this is the most optimistic Democrats have been in years about the possibility of picking up that seat.
If Curtis were to lose to Seegmiller, it would throw the leadership picture in the House into a wide open race, with several Republicans who haven't considered running for speaker suddenly seeing an opportunity.
It also could diminish even further the influence of Salt Lake County in the Legislature. Curtis currently is the only representative from the state's most populous county in the Republican leadership in the House.
Cheers,
Paul Rolly
Curtis' Democratic opponent, Jay Seegmiller, reportedly was 12 points up on Curtis when Democratic supporters conducted a telephone survey recently. Curtis' camp decided to conduct a telephone poll of district residents who voted two years ago and were listed as unaffiliated, in other words not registered as a member of any political party.
Curtis' poll of about 200 unaffiliated voters showed him down, among that group, by about eight points.
But one Curtis supporter said the results are not too alarming because Curtis should make up the difference among Republican voters, who vastly outnumber Democrats in the area.
Seegmiller ran against Curtis two years ago and the Curtis supporter says the numbers were similar among unaffiliated voters just before the 2004 election. But Curtis won the race, 52-46 percent, with other party candidates picking up the rest.
Still, this is the most optimistic Democrats have been in years about the possibility of picking up that seat.
If Curtis were to lose to Seegmiller, it would throw the leadership picture in the House into a wide open race, with several Republicans who haven't considered running for speaker suddenly seeing an opportunity.
It also could diminish even further the influence of Salt Lake County in the Legislature. Curtis currently is the only representative from the state's most populous county in the Republican leadership in the House.
Cheers,
Paul Rolly
11:14 AM
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